Friday, December 12, 2025
DJIA
48,405.39
-298.62 (-0.61%)
S&P 500
6,829.33
-71.67 (-1.04%)
NASDAQ
23,195.17
-398.69 (-1.69%)
Markets end choppy week lower as AI stocks stumble on profit margin concerns
U.S. stock markets ended a volatile week lower, with the Dow down 1.8% for the week to 48,405, the S&P 500 falling 0.6% to 6,829, and the Nasdaq slipping 1.7% to 23,195. The week started with optimism following the Fed’s rate cut on Wednesday, but sentiment soured by week’s end as major AI companies disappointed investors. Friday’s selloff was led by Broadcom, which plunged 11.5% despite beating earnings estimates, as investors worried about shrinking profit margins in the AI infrastructure business.
The week’s biggest story was the shift in how investors view AI investments. Early in the week, tech stocks rallied on the Fed rate cut and positive AI news. But by Thursday and Friday, the mood changed dramatically. Broadcom’s earnings showed that even companies winning AI business face pressure on profit margins. Oracle also stumbled earlier in the week on similar concerns. The lesson: investors are now being pickier, separating companies that can make money soon with healthy margins from those burning cash on infrastructure without clear payoffs. When one major AI stock drops on margin concerns, it often triggers selling across the entire sector.
Market outlook: The market is currently caught between two forces: rising long-term interest rates (which hurt expensive tech stocks) and the Federal Reserve cutting rates (which helps the economy and other sectors). As we head into year-end, watch three things: (1) whether long-term bond rates keep rising, (2) which tech companies can prove they’re converting AI hype into actual cash profits, and (3) how trading gets choppy as fewer people are active in the market during the holidays. Investment advice: Don’t just buy a stock because it’s labeled “AI”—make sure the company has a real plan to generate cash flow, not just exciting press releases.
WEEKLY PERFORMANCE
| Index | Close | Week Chg | %Chg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dow Industrials | 48,405.39 | -879.62 | -1.79% |
| S&P 500 | 6,829.33 | -41.67 | -0.61% |
| Nasdaq Comp | 23,195.17 | -398.83 | -1.69% |
| Russell 2000 | 2,548.70 | +41.09 | +1.64% |
TREASURY YIELDS
| Maturity | Yield | Prev |
|---|---|---|
| 2-Year | 3.53% | 3.55% |
| 10-Year | 4.19% | 4.14% |
| 30-Year | 4.86% | 4.79% |
COMMODITIES
| Commodity | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Gold (spot, oz) | $4,286.35 | +0.1% |
| Silver (spot, oz) | $63.67 | +0.2% |
| WTI Crude (bbl) | $57.40 | -0.35% |
WEEKLY MOVERS
| Stock | Week % Change |
|---|---|
| Broadcom (AVGO) | -8.4% |
| Oracle (ORCL) | -12.6% |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | -2.1% |
| Lululemon (LULU) | +15.8% |
| Tesla (TSLA) | +6.2% |
WEEK AHEAD
- Key economic reports: Retail sales and industrial production data will show whether the economy is still growing steadily after this week’s Fed rate cut.
- Interest rates to watch: Will long-term bond rates keep climbing (bad for tech stocks) or stabilize as fewer traders are active during the holiday season?
- Trading patterns: Year-end portfolio rebalancing can cause bigger-than-normal price swings, even on minor news.
- Company earnings: Pay attention to AI and software companies for updates on profit margins and whether their massive spending is paying off.
- Risk management: With big tech stocks moving differently from each other, don’t assume all tech is the same—research individual companies rather than buying the whole sector.
TERM OF THE WEEK
Profit Margin: The percentage of revenue a company keeps as profit after paying all expenses. If a company earns $100 in sales but spends $80 on costs, its profit margin is 20%. This week, investors worried that AI companies’ profit margins are shrinking because they’re spending so much on infrastructure and competing on price to win business. A company can grow revenue but still disappoint investors if margins are falling—meaning they’re making less profit on each dollar of sales.
